Bitcoin Could Be Eyeing a Decade-Long Bull Run Post-2025 Bear Market: Insights from Samson Mow

Bitcoin May Enter Decade-Long Bull Run After 2025 Bear Market: Samson Mow

As per Samson Mow, the founder of Jan3, Bitcoin might be on the brink of an extended bull market that could last into the next decade. He suggests that the past year served as a concealed bear market, not an indication of a broader decline.

Key Takeaways:

Samson Mow and analyst PlanC suggest that 2025 represented a hidden bear market, paving the way for a Bitcoin bull run.
Some analysts express skepticism, cautioning that Bitcoin’s peak of $125,100 could herald a new bear phase.
Bitcoin may be approaching a down year, which some consider a historical outlier.

In a recent post on platform X, Mow argued that 2025 effectively marked Bitcoin’s bear market, and now the groundwork is being laid for a persistent upswing that could last until 2035. He stated, “2025 was the bear market,” suggesting that Bitcoin may be entering a "decade-long bull run."

This sentiment is backed by PlanC, who believes that investors who have endured the past year have already experienced the worst of this market cycle.

Analysts Warn of Potential Bear Market Following Bitcoin’s Peak in 2026

This optimistic outlook stands in stark contrast to other predictions that identify October’s all-time high of $125,100 as the peak of the current market cycle.

Several analysts predict that 2026 might usher in a new bear market, especially as macroeconomic conditions tighten and speculative interest diminishes.

As of now, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $87,200, reflecting a nearly 9% drop since the beginning of the year, according to CoinMarketCap.

The cryptocurrency looks set to close the year with negative returns—a rare occurrence in Bitcoin’s trading history. PlanC pointed out that Bitcoin has never recorded two consecutive annual losses, considering the current decline an anomaly rather than a trend shift.

The recent price trends fall short of earlier bullish forecasts. In October, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes and BitMine chair Tom Lee speculated that Bitcoin could rise to $250,000 by the year’s end.

Instead, Bitcoin has decreased by approximately 3% in the last month, with market sentiment deteriorating throughout December.

Market psychology is reflecting this tension. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped to a score of 20 out of 100 on December 26, indicating a prolonged phase of “extreme fear” that started earlier in the month.

Industry Experts Forecast Bitcoin Could Slide to $60K–$65K in 2026

Looking forward to 2026, opinions within the industry are divided. Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity’s director of global macro research, suggests that 2026 could be a year of stagnation, potentially seeing Bitcoin prices dip to around $65,000.

On the other hand, some analysts are more upbeat. Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, contends that Bitcoin’s fundamental indicators have remained strong throughout 2025 despite the price declines, while Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan earlier expressed optimism, expecting 2026 to be an “up year” for Bitcoin.

Market analyst Linh Tran from XS.com highlighted that Bitcoin’s recent price movements show how sensitive the market is to expectations surrounding monetary policies rather than broader economic data.

While inflation in the U.S. has decreased from last year’s highs, the current consumer price index reading is at 2.7%, which points to a slow and uneven disinflation process. This situation is compelling the Federal Reserve to maintain a cautious approach, making it hard to adopt aggressive monetary easing quickly, Tran stated in a note to Cryptonews.com.

Additionally, K33 reported last week that the prolonged selling pressure from long-term Bitcoin holders may be nearing its limits after a sustained period of steady distribution.