Bitcoin's Next Price Bottom Likely In 2026: Analysis

New analysis suggests that Bitcoin might not see its next price bottom until 2026. Declining trading volumes indicate limited chances for a quick market turnaround. However, as selling pressure eases, there is potential for Bitcoin's price to rise to $99,000.

Key Takeaways

The next Bitcoin price bottom is projected to occur by 2026.
Current decreasing trading volumes suggest a short-term bullish trend is unlikely.
A reduction in selling pressure might allow Bitcoin's price to rally to $99,000.

Bitcoin due 2026 bottom as exchange volumes grind lower: Analysis

Will Bitcoin Hit Its Price Bottom by 2026?

In a recent YouTube analysis, crypto expert Jason Pizzino indicated that Bitcoin (BTC) could face a series of lower lows for up to a year, with the potential long-term bottom not concluding until October 2026. He summarized the existing market movements while highlighting community expectations that BTC/USD will enter a bounce zone within the next 11 months.

Pizzino noted, “As I said, we’ve got some time,” emphasizing the market's current state. He discussed Bitcoin's trading volume decreasing in a manner reminiscent of late 2022 and early 2023, which was a catalyst for the current bull market. “This is where we see those surprising price shifts occur because many investors aren't paying attention,” he explained.

The expert also expressed skepticism about a significant trend reversal in the short term, noting that the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) poses significant resistance, coupled with a lack of trader risk appetite, as indicated by a balanced long/short ratio.

Bitcoin taker buy/sell volume
Source: CoinGlass

The Role of Sellers in a Potential $99,000 Rebound

When analyzing investor behavior, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant suggests a phase of consolidation is possible before any new market excitement emerges. In their latest report shared with Cointelegraph on Tuesday, titled “The Calm Before The Vol,” they highlighted a drop in exchange inflows from major entities.

CryptoQuant observed, “The share of total deposits from large players has decreased from a 24-hour average high of 47% in mid-November to 21% today.”

Bitcoin exchange inflow data
Source: CryptoQuant

They further predicted that continued declines in selling pressure could help BTC/USD rebound to $99,000. “This price represents the lower band of the Trader On-chain Realized Price bands, serving as resistance during bear markets. Beyond this level, key resistances are $102K (the one-year moving average) and $112K (the Trader On-chain Realized price),” the report concluded.

Bitcoin trader onchain realized price bands
Source: CryptoQuant