Bitcoin's Potential for a Stronger Rally Than Previous Bull Markets

Bitcoin's price movements have led many traders to believe that the peak of the market cycle occurred in October 2025. However, an intriguing technical analysis suggests that the current market structure may still be developing. Analyst CryptoAmsterdam argues that Bitcoin is currently undergoing a temporary correction within a larger bullish phase. If this hypothesis holds true, Bitcoin could experience a rally that surpasses those of previous bull markets.

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin is likely experiencing a temporary correction within a broader macro bullish cycle.
Previous Bitcoin cycles followed a recognizable five-stage sequence; the current cycle appears unfinished.
Technical analysis indicates the potential for a parabolic phase ahead.
Bitcoin has a historical tendency to lag behind other assets like gold and large-cap stocks.
Analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach price highs above $200,000 in the upcoming macro cycle.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin May Be in an Unfinished Macro Bull Cycle

Bitcoin's major bull runs have traditionally followed a clear five-stage sequence: a bull phase, a bear phase, accumulation below the macro range, a disbelief rally back into the range, and finally, a parabolic surge to new all-time highs. This pattern has been observed in the cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021, each completing all five stages within approximately four years. However, the current cycle has yet to do so.

CryptoAmsterdam’s analysis indicates that while Bitcoin reached a new peak, it has not exhibited the typical Stage 5 parabolic explosion associated with previous cycles. When comparing Bitcoin's weekly price movements against historical cycles, it becomes evident that all three previous cycles measured between 1,456 to 1,477 days from trough to peak, with Stage 5 being the most explosive price phase.

Currently, this key phase appears to be missing from the present cycle. Since hitting a peak of $126,000, Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase, yet according to this analysis, the overall cycle remains in play.

Bitcoin price 1

Price Chart Comparison. Source: @damskotrades On X

Technical analysis also indicates that price movements may seem weak on shorter time frames while still maintaining a bullish trend on a larger scale. It appears that Bitcoin is currently in this situation. The chart setup suggests that the recent correction is merely a mini-cycle correction within a broader macro continuation.

This perspective becomes more compelling when comparing Bitcoin's situation to that of gold and Alphabet. In both cases, their prices advanced within larger macro cycles, paused for mid-cycle corrections, and then resumed upward trends once the minor resets were complete.

According to CryptoAmsterdam's analysis, Bitcoin may be undergoing a similar scenario. If accurate, Bitcoin's current price action represents Stage 3 of a mini-cycle nested within the larger Stage 5 of its macro cycle, indicating that the parabolic phase may still be forthcoming.

Bitcoin price 2

Gold And Alphabet Inc. Source: @damskotrades On X

Potential for New Price Highs

Another reason to anticipate a stronger rally for Bitcoin is its historical tendency to lag behind other assets. Over recent years, Bitcoin has frequently mirrored the macro structures seen in large-cap stocks, often trailing them by several hundred days. Consequently, it has tended to appear less like a market leader and more as a late participant.

Notably, technical analysis reveals that gold often hits bottom well before Bitcoin. During the previous cycle in 2021, for example, Bitcoin rose while gold advanced, but Bitcoin experienced a mini-cycle correction while gold steadily climbed. It wasn't until gold finished its parabolic rally that Bitcoin began its vertical ascent, as illustrated in the chart below.

Bitcoin price 3

Gold And BTC. Source: @damskotrades On X

The outlook now suggests that Bitcoin is poised to continue its larger Stage 5 movement, similar to what was observed with gold and Google (Alphabet Inc.). Analysts project that this movement could drive Bitcoin's price to exceed $200,000 in the next macro cycle.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com BTC bulls pushing to hold $74,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com