Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: Is ETH Price Set for an 80% Surge in 2026?

According to emerging long-term charts, Ethereum's Ether (ETH) token may potentially rally by over 80% against Bitcoin (BTC) by 2026. The analysis reveals a classic bullish reversal scenario that holds promise for investors.

Key Takeaways

Potential Growth: ETH/BTC charts indicate a possible rise toward the range of 0.059–0.063 BTC by 2026.
Risk of Rejection: A failure at the long-term trendline could bring the pair back down to around 0.0175 BTC.
Historical Patterns: ETH's recent performance resembles its significant price jump of nearly 450% seen between 2019 and 2020.

Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: ETH price poised for 80% rally in 2026

Ethereum’s Price Chart Indicates Potential 80% Rally Against Bitcoin

As of December, the ETH/BTC two-week chart has revealed a textbook inverse head-and-shoulders (IH&S) formation. This is a well-known bullish reversal setup that generally follows an extended downtrend.

ETH/BTC two-week chart. Source: TradingView

The formation's left shoulder was formed during a period of weakness in late 2024, which was succeeded by a significant drop in April 2025 that shaped the "head" at approximately 0.0176 BTC. Following this, a recovery set a higher low in Q4 2025, resulting in the right shoulder.

The neckline occurred around the 0.0400 BTC mark, located between the 50-period (red) and 200-period (blue) exponential moving averages (EMAs).

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If there is a decisive breakout above this zone, it would likely verify the IH&S pattern, leading to a target level of 0.063 BTC by 2026. This price point represents an 80% increase from the ETH/BTC values observed recently.

Can ETH Replicate Its 450% Surge from 2020?

The recent rebound of ETH/BTC has closely mirrored the breakout experienced after the accumulation phase of 2019-2020. The price soared nearly 450% after hitting the same demand zone between 0.0160–0.0200 BTC.

Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Ether Price, Ethereum Price ETH/BTC two-week chart. Source: TradingView

The recovery in 2025 is taking place from this same structural low point, with the price now nearing an early-stage resistance zone (indicated by red circles in the chart above) that preceded the parabolic rise in 2020. If this pattern holds, ETH/BTC might climb to the 0.059 BTC Fibonacci level, aligning with the IH&S breakout expectations for 2026.

Is Ethereum’s Downtrend Against Bitcoin Ending?

Nonetheless, for ETH bulls, it will be crucial to demonstrate that the long-term downtrend has truly come to an end. Ethereum continues to face limitations from a long-term descending trendline, which has failed to break since 2017.

ETH/BTC two-week chart. Source: TradingView

A new rejection at this critical barrier would jeopardize the IH&S and fractal setups, increasing the chance of a retreat back toward the long-standing support level at 0.0175 BTC in 2026.