Robinhood Markets Predicts 14% Chance Bitcoin Reaches $150K Before June 2026

Summary:
Robinhood's prediction markets now indicate a 14% probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will hit $150,000 before June 2026. Despite a brief rally at the start of January, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain its value, recently dropping below the $90,000 mark. Historical data shows a significant decline in optimism for Bitcoin, which once had a much higher chance of reaching the $150,000 milestone.

Key Takeaways

Robinhood estimates a 14% chance for Bitcoin to reach $150,000 before June 2026.
Bitcoin's price briefly soared over 7% in early January but could not sustain the $100,000 level.
Predictions for Bitcoin hitting $150,000 have decreased from 63% last October to the current 14%.
Various market analysts have shared conflicting predictions for Bitcoin's price movement in the coming years.

Bitcoin's Challenging Journey to $150K

The latest figures from Robinhood show that Bitcoin has a 14% chance of hitting $150,000 prior to June 2026. Recently, Bitcoin experienced a significant loss, dropping 5.4% from its January 5 high of $94,792, and failing to maintain the crucial $100,000 psychological barrier. This setback has dimmed hopes for Bitcoin reaching the $150,000 target that traders were eyeing after it first crossed the $100,000 threshold on December 5, 2024.

Odds of Bitcoin Hitting $150K Before June 2026 | Robinhood

A Look at Historical Trends

In recent months, the outlook for Bitcoin has soured considerably. As of October 7, 2025, following its most recent peak at $126,272, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $150,000 before June 2026 was 63%. Enthusiasm was fueled since Bitcoin only required a 19% rise from the $126,000 mark to reach the target.

However, as Bitcoin began a downward trend that characterized much of Q4 2025, confidence waned, leading to a revised chance of 45% by the start of November. As the decline continued, the likelihood dropped to 27% by the month's end, as Bitcoin's price fell to around $90,000.

Currently, the odds have stabilized at 14% after fluctuating between 12% and 16% since the beginning of 2026. Predictions have also become increasingly cautious, with Robinhood estimating a 9% chance of Bitcoin reaching $150,000 before May 2026, a 4% chance before April, and a mere 2% before February.

Prospects for Bitcoin's Future

Several market experts and institutions have varied predictions for Bitcoin's potential surge towards $150,000. Notable forecasters include Robert Kiyosaki, the author of “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” who suggested in January 2024 that Bitcoin could reach this target "soon." Meanwhile, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee also projected a possible rise to $150,000 within a year, albeit without confidence.

In March 2024, Standard Chartered raised its Bitcoin price forecast to $150,000, while Bernstein’s Gautam Chhugani recently adjusted his estimates, indicating that Bitcoin may hit that mark in 2026. Given Bitcoin's current trading value of $89,200, it would require a 68% increase to reach $150,000.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. The opinions expressed reflect the author's viewpoint and do not necessarily represent those of The Crypto Basic. It is recommended that readers conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.