Will XRP Reach $4 By 2026? Analyst Shares Price Predictions

XRP has experienced a significant decline, falling over 60% from its peak in 2025. This decrease places the cryptocurrency in a lengthy corrective phase, raising uncertainty among crypto investors about the potential for XRP to rebound and hit new all-time highs, possibly even exceeding $4. An analyst has now proposed a scenario indicating that XRP could soon finish its correction and start an upward trend that might lead to new price highs.

Key Takeaways:

XRP has decreased over 60% from its peak in 2025, entering a long corrective phase.
An analyst suggests XRP may soon conclude this correction and start to rise again.
The current downturn could end around mid-March 2026, based on past corrective patterns.
For XRP to reach $4 in 2026, it would need to recover significantly from its current levels, especially from support at $1.05.
Breaking key resistance points could signal the potential for future price increases.

XRP price news

XRP Approaching the End of a Prolonged Correction

Recent discussions surrounding XRP’s decline have largely focused on its peak of $3.65 in the summer of 2025. However, one analyst posting on X believes this interpretation might be fundamentally flawed.

According to their analysis, the major impulsive wave for XRP peaked as far back as January 2025, when it exceeded $3.30, well before the cryptocurrency reached its all-time high. The subwaves that began in July 2024 appear to form an impulsive structure that concluded in January 2025, with the price movements that followed—including the all-time high—representing a corrective pattern.

Historically, the last significant corrective phase lasted 61 weeks and resulted in an approximate 85% reduction in XRP’s value before a meaningful recovery commenced. If we apply a similar timeframe to the current correction starting at the January 2025 high, we could expect it to conclude around mid-March 2026.

XRP Price Chart. Source: @protechtor on X

The chart above illustrates that XRP's past correction following 2021 developed within a descending channel over 61 bars, or 427 days, before it reached a low. During that period, prices declined by around 85.34%.

Currently, the structure on the right side of the chart mirrors that previous breakdown in both shape and duration. To date, the decline has reached approximately 71.52%, with 61 weeks noted as a crucial timing indicator. A descending trendline intersects the present price structure at $1.05, which the analyst suggests could act as the final downside target if XRP hasn’t already hit its lowest point.

Is $4 For XRP Possible in 2026?

For XRP to reach $4 in 2026, it would need to significantly recover from its current support levels. This scenario seems feasible if the ongoing correction is indeed nearing its conclusion. A rise from the suggested downside level of $1.05 to $4 would represent a staggering gain of nearly 281%. Even if XRP begins climbing from the chart's indicated price of around $1.38, it would still need to increase by about 200% to surpass the upper limits of the current corrective phase.

A confirmed monthly bottom, followed by a decisive move above the horizontal resistance around $1.80, would likely serve as the initial signal. Following that, price targets would shift towards the upper trendline of the current structure and the previous highs in the $3.4 to $3.6 region. It is at this point that the discussion around reaching $4 would become more plausible.

XRP price chart from Tradingview.com Price fails to sustain recovery | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com