XRP's Quiet Phase Might Precede a Major Breakout: Insights from Experts

In the world of cryptocurrency, XRP’s significant rise could come unexpectedly, caution traders and analysts. Currently, the markets are calm, but history shows that this tranquility has often paved the way for sudden, sharp price movements that catch many off guard.

Key Takeaways

XRP’s price movements are characterized by long periods of inactivity followed by sudden spikes.
The regulatory pressure from the SEC has been lifted, allowing for potential growth.
Timing the market precisely is less important than being an early investor.
Current market sentiment is weak, but various factors could instigate a price surge.

XRP

Understanding XRP's Sudden Price Movements

XRP has historically gone through prolonged periods of inactivity, only to be followed by rapid surges in its price. Unlike more stable assets, XRP does not gradually accumulate upward momentum over time. Instead, it frequently stagnates, leading to dwindling confidence among traders before an explosive increase occurs.

This pattern often leaves short-term traders sidelined during significant rallies, as the momentum looks apparent only once it is already in full swing.

Regulatory Hurdles Have Been Cleared

Recent reports suggest that the SEC lawsuit has dramatically affected XRP’s timing over the years. While other cryptocurrencies were experiencing market fluctuations, XRP was constrained by rigorous regulatory scrutiny. Fortunately, that burden has now been lifted.

“The major $XRP breakout will occur when many least expect it. It's always a ‘catch-off-guard’ move, but we’re prepared.”
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) January 17, 2026

The market is now able to evaluate XRP free from this regulatory cloud. A notable rally began in late 2024 following Donald Trump's electoral win and the departure of SEC Chair Gary Gensler, propelling XRP from around $0.50 to over $3 within a few weeks. However, this surge was eventually followed by a significant correction.

Analysts highlight that being invested early is often more advantageous than precisely timing the lowest price point. Those who buy in late can end up overpaying and may panic sell when prices start to fade.

XRP Price Chart
XRP/USD trading at $1.92. Chart: TradingView

Long-term holders typically capture the majority of the gains, and this trend has been observed across various market cycles. Emotional reactions often drive late entries, while a calm and composed approach tends to yield better results.

At this moment, XRP is trading around $1.93, reflecting a decline of about 4% for the day and approximately 55% lower than its recent peak. Traders who purchased above $3 over the past year have likely reduced their positions or cut losses, resulting in weak market sentiment.

Current liquidity levels in key price ranges may be lighter than expected. The flow of trading volume and derivatives could be critical indicators if prices start moving again.

Several factors might trigger the next surge—rapid capital inflows, changes in macroeconomic interest, or the arrival of a significant buyer. On-chain data, exchange movements, and futures market positioning will offer more precise insights, but these indicators can change swiftly.

Image source: Unsplash, chart from TradingView