XRP Whale Inflows to Binance Reach Their Lowest Point Since 2021: A Possible Accumulation Phase?

XRP is currently trading above $2, managing to stabilize after a period of volatility. Recent data indicates a notable decrease in whale transfers to Binance, which may suggest that large holders are less inclined to sell. This could lead to a more favorable environment for price consolidation and potential upward movements.

Key Takeaways

XRP remains above the $2 mark during a period of price stabilization.
Whale inflows to Binance have hit their lowest levels since 2021, indicating reduced selling pressure from large holders.
Lower whale inflows can create a supportive environment for price increases by limiting immediate selling.
XRP is in a fragile rebound, trading close to $2.06, and needs strong demand to break above key resistance levels.

Decline in Whale Inflows Indicates Accumulation?

XRP has seen a resurgence above $2 after a turbulent phase, indicating the market's gradual awakening as traders anticipate the next price movement. While the price action seems stable for now, on-chain data implies a decline in selling pressure from larger investors, potentially benefiting bullish traders.

A recent report from Arab Chain highlights a significant drop in whale transfers to Binance in recent days. Data from the XRP Ledger reveals that the Whale Transfer Flow (30-Day Moving Average) plummeted to 48 million XRP, rebounding slightly to 56.1 million XRP—marking the lowest levels seen since 2021. This metric tracks the volume of large wallet transfers to exchanges and is often interpreted as a signal of whale distribution and sell-side intent.

Typically, when whale inflows spike, it indicates a readiness among large investors to sell off their holdings, adding to market supply and increasing downside risk. Conversely, when these flows decrease to very low levels, it suggests that the urgency to sell is lessening. This can help to stabilize prices during periods of consolidation.

With XRP holding above $2, the shift in whale activity toward exchanges suggests that the market might be transitioning into a quieter phase of accumulation. In this scenario, any breakouts will likely rely on new demand rather than panic-fueled selling.

Stabilization of Whale Inflows as XRP Maintains Support

This observation is particularly noteworthy as it coincides with XRP's stability on the price chart, averaging around $2.15 during the same timeframe. Instead of whales rushing to offload their assets during periods of strength, data shows that large holders seem to prefer retaining their positions. This behavior suggests that investors may be opting to hold XRP rather than actively sell it into the market.

XRP Ledger Exchange Inflow | Source: CryptoQuant

Such patterns are often noticed during "quiet" market phases when price compression and reduced liquidity create the potential for a significant movement once demand returns. As the number of coins being sent to exchanges declines, fewer coins are available for immediate sale, which can alleviate resistance during minor upward movements and minimize downward pressure.

In historical context, the last time whale inflows reached similarly low levels in 2021, XRP entered phases that later transitioned into more robust upward trends. During that time, supply on exchanges remained tight while demand built gradually, allowing for a more favorable price response as momentum shifted.

At present, the continued decline in whale inflows is reducing short-term selling pressure and enhancing the supply environment. If demand from buyers increases, XRP could be in a better position to break from its consolidation phase without facing heavy selling from large wallets.

XRP's Momentum Faces Challenges Below Key Averages

Currently, XRP is trading around $2.06 after weeks of erratic price movements, indicating a market that is stabilizing but still lacks conviction in a strong trend. The price has consistently stayed above the crucial $2 level, which has acted as a temporary support since the late 2025 selloff that saw XRP dip into the $1.80–$1.90 range. Nonetheless, the rebound remains delicate as XRP trades below essential moving averages, which continue to trend downward.

XRP consolidates around key level | Source: XRPUSDT chart on TradingView

The resistance indicated by the blue and green trend lines sits above the current price, emphasizing how sellers have mitigated upward rallies since November. XRP's recent attempts to push higher faced rejection around the $2.30–$2.35 range, highlighting that demand has yet to be strong enough to reclaim higher price levels and alter the market structure to a bullish stance.

Moreover, volume levels have remained relatively low outside of sporadic spikes, suggesting that the market is not experiencing significant participation growth. For bullish traders, the immediate goal is to establish acceptance above the $2.20 mark and convert the declining moving averages into support. If XRP were to fall below $2, downside pressure could rapidly return towards the $1.90 area.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com