Bitcoin Alert: Is an Imminent "Death Cross" on the 3-Day Chart Signaling the Final Low of the Cycle?

Since 2014, a specific crossover has consistently indicated the final phase of capitulation, with historical price declines surpassing 45%. If this signal is confirmed, Bitcoin could test forgotten price levels before initiating its genuine recovery. An analyst has highlighted how Bitcoin might be approaching a bearish crossover between the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages on the 3-day chart.

Key Takeaways

A potential Death Cross for Bitcoin could occur soon, which might indicate a final price drop.
Historical data shows that past Death Crosses have led to significant declines of over 45%.
There is a current shift in the profit/loss ratio for Bitcoin, indicating a bearish trend.
Maxi Doge offers a high-yield alternative for investors looking to protect their capital and participate in market gains.

Bitcoin Chart

Is Bitcoin Moving Towards a Death Cross on a 3-Day Basis?

In a recent post on X, analyst Ali Martinez discussed a potential bearish crossover in Bitcoin's price on the 3-day chart. This term typically refers to a bearish signal generated by the crossover of two simple moving averages (SMA) of an asset. A bearish crossover occurs when the longer-term SMA crosses above the shorter-term one. In this analysis, the relevant SMAs are the 50-day and 200-day averages.

The chart shared by Martinez illustrates the pattern exhibited by these two SMAs for Bitcoin's price over three days.

Since 2014, the death cross between the 50 and 200 simple moving averages on the 3-day chart has consistently preceded the final leg down of a Bitcoin $BTC bear market. https://t.co/9vGw5OdDVY pic.twitter.com/lSM8BRrxSw
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) February 23, 2026

As shown in the chart, the 50-day SMA has crossed below the 200-day SMA during the last three cycles. Each of these crossovers led to a decline in prices. For example, the 2014 crossover resulted in a drop of 52.19%, the 2018 crossover saw a decline of 50.56%, and the 2022 crossover led to a 45.91% drop. Interestingly, these price declines marked the bottom of their respective bear markets. "Since 2014, the death cross between the 50 and 200 simple moving averages on the 3-day chart has consistently preceded the final leg down of a Bitcoin bear market," noted the analyst.

Currently, Bitcoin has been experiencing a downtrend in recent months, with a notable decline in its price. The 50-day SMA has now approached the 200-day SMA. As depicted in a detailed chart shared by Martinez, the gap between the 50-day and 200-day SMAs is now quite narrow.

Bitcoin $BTC peaked in October 2025 and has already fallen more than 52%.
It's now approaching a potential death cross between the 50 and 200 SMAs on the 3-day chart, projected to occur on February 27. https://t.co/9vGw5OdDVY pic.twitter.com/zseZsKip6q
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) February 24, 2026

If these lines continue along their current trajectory, the analyst believes a bearish crossover might occur on February 27. Given historical trends, such a crossover could lead Bitcoin into its final phase of a bear market. It remains to be seen if the current cycle will follow a similar pattern or diverge.

Additionally, the realized profit/loss ratio recently dropped into negative territory, as highlighted by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode in a recent X post.

Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss Ratio
Evolution of the 90-day moving average of this metric over time | Source: Glassnode on X

Current BTC Price

Recently, Bitcoin has erased some of its recent gains and is now trading around $63,300.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Movements Over the Last Five Days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Maxi Doge (MAXI): The High-Velocity Alternative to Beat Institutional Markets

As Bitcoin dangerously approaches a "technical cataclysm" with the imminent Death Cross, astute investors as of February 25, 2026, are not sitting idle in anticipation of a 50% drop. Maxi Doge (MAXI) emerges as a backup strategy for those unwilling to endure the final capitulation of the market leader.

While Bitcoin’s profit/loss ratios slip into negative territory according to Glassnode, Maxi Doge is building a robust growth momentum, entirely detached from Bitcoin's weary moving averages.

Maxi Doge

Why Maxi Doge is Your Shield Against Bitcoin's “Death Cross”?

Crisis-Resistant Passive Yield: While Bitcoin erases its gains, Maxi Doge offers a staking program at 68% APY. This mathematical safeguard can lead to capital growth even during general market panic.
Uninterrupted Presale Momentum: With $4.6 million raised so far, MAXI does not follow the institutional capitulation curves. Its value is propelled by increasing community adoption and an upward price structure.
The "Maxi Fund" to Weather the Storm: With 25% of its supply reserved for liquidity and market support, Maxi Doge has the strength to maintain its course, while Bitcoin relies on overall liquidity, which may take six months to recover.

In February 2026, do not let Bitcoin's bearish signals paralyze your strategy. Stay ahead with Maxi Doge and turn the market's capitulation phase into an opportunity for asymmetric profit and sustainable growth.

Learn more about Maxi Doge.