Bitcoin Faces Challenge After Venezuela Strike, But Analysts Anticipate Stability

Summary: In light of the recent US strikes on Venezuela, analysts suggest that Bitcoin is unlikely to experience a significant drop. The market appears stable, with Bitcoin maintaining its position above $90,000. Observers note that panic-driven sell-offs often occur under escalated tensions, but the current situation is viewed differently.

Key Takeaways

US strikes on Venezuela are not expected to trigger a major sell-off of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin remained steady above $90,000 despite certain market disruptions.
Analysts assert that the attack was planned and unlikely to incite panic in the markets.
Historical data shows that rapid declines in Bitcoin's price often correlate with escalating conflict, but the current outlook appears calmer.
Events like these are being considered separately from the broader economic conditions, including rising US national debt.

Bitcoin

Market Response to the Recent Attack

According to market observers, the recent US military strikes on Venezuela early Saturday are unlikely to lead to a significant sell-off in Bitcoin. These strikes, which occurred around 6 a.m. UTC and lasted approximately 30 minutes, did not seem to alarm traders. Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, expressed on X that he does not foresee "a widespread correction" from this incident, as it was anticipated and has already been addressed by market participants. Other analysts echoed similar sentiments, noting that significant volatility often arises when traders expect worse outcomes.

Bitcoin's Performance Amid Conflicts

Reports indicate that Bitcoin remained stable, holding steady above the $90,000 mark. Data from CoinGecko showed a 1.50% increase, bringing Bitcoin's price to $91,320 at the time of writing. Van de Poppe reassured that:

“I don’t think we’ll see a widespread correction based on the attack in Venezuela on #Bitcoin... The likelihood of more negativity on the markets from that single event is relatively slim.”

CoinGlass data revealed that approximately $60 million in Bitcoin positions were liquidated within the previous 24 hours, with around $55 million of that due to short bets. Such liquidations can temporarily increase market volatility, but this instance seemed to lead to modest fluctuations.

Historical Context and Current Trends

In past situations, conflicts have quickly influenced Bitcoin prices. For instance, in June 2025, Bitcoin dropped nearly 3% from $106,000 to $103,000 within about 90 minutes following explosions in Tehran. Traders noted that sudden price movements often accompany heightened fears of escalation. However, many market analysts believe the current events are less likely to provoke additional fears.

As of Saturday, the US national debt surpassed $38 trillion, reaching close to $38.5 trillion according to the National Debt Clock. This development coincided with Bitcoin enthusiasts celebrating “Genesis Day,” the anniversary of the first-ever block mined by Satoshi Nakamoto.

“Happy Bitcoin Genesis Block day” — Paolo Ardoino 🤖 (@paoloardoino) January 3, 2026

Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, shared a celebratory message, with Sam Callahan, director of strategy and research at OranjeBTC, also voicing support. For many, the message embedded within the Genesis Block symbolizes a monetary system that is limited in supply and not subject to inflationary pressures like fiat currencies.

As articulated by analyst Tyler Hill:

“The market tends to react negatively when we expect subsequent worsening conditions, which doesn’t currently seem to be the case. This could actually bring some positivity to the market as people interpret this as a sign of strength.”

Unlike previous events, the immediate market response to the strikes was calm, with hedge funds and retail traders closely monitoring social media and on-chain transaction flows.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView