Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025: Path to $150,000 After Retracing Below $90,000

Bitcoin is facing renewed pressure: as of December 11, 2025, $BTC is trading around $90,000, having retraced approximately 2-3% in a day within a range of $89,600 to $94,000. Sources like CoinGecko and major news outlets report increased volatility following the latest Federal Reserve rate decision and weaker statistics from the artificial intelligence sector.

Key Takeaways

Bitcoin is currently facing pressure, with trading around $90,000 after a recent drop.
The long-term bullish narrative is supported by studies predicting high growth after the 2024 halving.
Key levels to watch include $88,000-$90,000 for support and $92,000-$95,000 for resistance.
Different scenarios exist regarding Bitcoin’s price trajectory, including bullish, bearish, and a base scenario for 2026.
Infrastructure projects like Bitcoin Hyper are emerging as potential high-risk investments in the crypto space.
Caution is advised when considering risk-heavy investments such as Bitcoin Hyper due to regulatory uncertainties and market volatility.

Bitcoin remains the main beneficiary of the 2024-2026 cycle, and a target of $150,000 looks achievable if key supports are maintained and stable inflows into ETFs are restored. For those exploring more aggressive ideas within the ecosystem, infrastructure tokens like $HYPER may present interesting yet risky opportunities—studying them requires the same level of attention as Bitcoin itself.

While dropping below $90,000 is concerning in the short term, it fits well within the larger picture of prolonged consolidation after reaching an all-time high above $110,000 and subsequently seeing a decline of nearly 20%. In recent sessions, U.S. spot ETFs have experienced alternating days of inflows and outflows: for example, estimated net outflows on December 9 were around $60 million, while inflows turned around on December 10 to +$152 million.

On a longer time frame, the bullish narrative remains intact. A Bitfinex study published shortly before the halving in 2024 suggested potential growth of over 160% within 14 months after the event, with a target range of $150,000 to $169,000. Analysts like Peter Brandt and the Fairlead Strategies team also view the $135,000 to $150,000 area as a likely price peak for the cycle.

Thus, the goal of $150,000 per $BTC by the end of the cycle appears realistic, even amid the current correction and more cautious forecasts from major banks like Standard Chartered, which has lowered its end-of-2025 estimate to $100,000. The question is what conditions need to be met for the bullish trend to continue—and where the boundary lies that could break the scenario for $150,000.

In this context, some traders are increasingly combining "digital gold" with riskier ideas. The focus is shifting to infrastructure projects tied to Bitcoin's ecosystem, including new layer two solutions like Bitcoin Hyper and the $HYPER token, which offer a high premium relative to the movement of the underlying asset.

Bitcoin's Journey to $150,000: Technical Analysis, ETFs, and Key Scenarios

From a technical perspective, $BTC is currently balancing above an important support zone near $88,000 to $90,000, where sales have stopped several times in recent weeks. Short-term resistance is forming in the range of $92,000 to $95,000, where the price has consolidated before the Fed's decision on multiple occasions.

As long as Bitcoin stays above this support, the structure resembles a classic flat consolidation in the mid-cycle rather than a complete reversal. Sentiment indicators also do not signal mass capitulation: funding on derivative platforms has cooled off from overextended levels, and daily volumes remain around $50-60 billion, indicating healthy interest in the asset.

The fundamental picture is built around three axes: inflows into spot ETFs, macro liquidity cycles, and post-halving supply dynamics. Despite a decrease in total assets under management in Bitcoin ETFs from about $49 billion since October—from a peak of $169.5 billion to $120.7 billion—the total net inflows since inception still surpass $57 billion. This indicates structural, rather than speculative, demand from institutions.

The growth scenario to $150,000 looks as follows. At the current price of about $90,000, Bitcoin would need to rise approximately 65-70%. If the Fed continues with a soft rate-cutting cycle and inflation is kept in check, risk assets may receive a new wave of liquidity—exactly the environment in which Bitcoin has historically experienced exponential growth.

Bullish Scenario: $BTC holds the $88,000-$90,000 zone, ETFs return to stable positive inflows, and the price solidifies above $100,000 in the coming months. Breaking through the historical high of around $112,000 would pave the way to an intermediate target of $135,000, identified by several analysts, and, if momentum maintains, to $150,000 as an extension of the current cycle.

Base Scenario: Bitcoin spends a significant portion of 2026 within a broad range of $80,000-$120,000, occasionally attempting to set new highs but facing local sell-offs from long-term participants and arbitrage strategies in ETFs. For medium-term investors, this represents a period for accumulation rather than an immediate "shot" to the target.

Bearish Scenario: A sustained loss of support at $80,000-$82,000, paired with increased outflows from ETFs and rising regulatory risks, would call the entire $150,000 thesis for the current cycle into question. In this case, a repeat of historical corrections of 50-60% from the peak could drive the price back to the $60,000-$70,000 zone, where bulls would need to build a new base.

For now, the key driver remains the balance between institutional interest and macro risks. By closely monitoring the levels of $88,000, $100,000, and $112,000, one can assess which scenario begins to unfold.

Bitcoin Hyper: A High-Risk Bet on Scaling the Bitcoin Ecosystem

Amid the consolidation of $BTC, some investors are looking for ways to enhance potential returns through infrastructure assets tied to the same foundational story. Here, Bitcoin Hyper and its $HYPER token come into focus, positioned as "the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with SVM integration" aimed at removing three main barriers of Bitcoin: slow transactions, high fees, and lack of full programmability.

The project’s architecture is built on a modular principle: first-layer Bitcoin handles final settlement state and security, while the high-performance second layer utilizing Solana Virtual Machine manages the execution of smart contracts and real-time transaction processing. This enables the launch of DeFi applications, exchanges, lending protocols, and gaming services with delays and fees similar to Solana’s metrics, yet relying on the trustworthiness of the Bitcoin network.

According to the team, the presale has already attracted $29,328,219.27 at the current token price of about $0.013405, with substantial demand coming from large participants. On-chain data shows that two addresses combined bought $HYPER for approximately $396,000, with the largest sale at $53,000 occurring on November 19, 2025. For an early stage, this is a clear signal that "smart money" is eyeing this high-risk asset with high potential returns.

Bitcoin Hyper

In terms of utility, Bitcoin Hyper offers fast payments in wrapped Bitcoin with low fees, launching DeFi protocols, NFT platforms, and gaming applications via SDK and API on Rust, along with high-yield staking (APY) available immediately after the token emerges in the market. A seven-day freeze period is designated for presale participants, with rewards distributed for governance and community participation.

However, it’s crucial to understand the risks. Firstly, this is an early-stage infrastructure project: incomplete decentralization at the sequencer level, technical bugs, or development delays could significantly impact the value of $HYPER. Secondly, the legal uncertainty surrounding tokens tied to Bitcoin remains high. Thirdly, presales are inherently speculative: liquidity at launch can often be extremely volatile, and price drops of tens of percent after listing are common.

When considering Bitcoin Hyper in conjunction with the base scenario for Bitcoin, the logic is straightforward: as Bitcoin's role in DeFi and Web3 services strengthens, demand for scalable layer-two solutions that maintain the security of the underlying network could grow faster than the price of $BTC itself. However, this is a high-risk addition to the portfolio, which should only be considered after thorough independent analysis of the project and careful examination of its current presale and tokenomics.